New York Times has this super-interesting article, partly because of its interactive nature:
The article begins:
How likely is it that children who grow up in very poor families go to college? How about children who grow up in very rich families? We’d like you to draw your guess for every income level on the chart below.
So I gave it a try, and here is how I did, and how other readers did against the research finding:
What is remarkable is not prediction, but the linear nature of the relationship between parents income and percentage of college-going children.
The original research, as well as the original graph is here: https://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/30750027/mobility_geo.pdf?sequence=1